Monday, September 26, 2011

Video lessentiel de lAccord de Paris sur le climat en 10 minutes

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Le 28 avril, j'ai été invité à intervenir en Suisse, à la HES-SO de Sierre, en ouverture d'un forum consacré à l'après-COP21. J'ai eu l'occasion d'y détailler le contenu de l'Accord de Paris, de le replacer dans le contexte de la lutte contre le changement climatique et des négociations internationales depuis la Convention-Cadre de 1992 et de parler signification en termes d'émission.
Rien de bien nouveau : je traite largement de ces sujets sur le blog. Mais vous n'avez peut-être pas le temps de lire mon rapport sur l'Accord de Paris et ses implications économiques ou tous les articles que j'ai consacré à la COP21... Alors que diriez-vous d'un extrait de cette conférence qui en reprend l'essentiel en une dizaine de minutes ?



Pour aller plus loin vous pouvez retrouver ici toutes les interventions du forum.

Continuer la lecture »

Friday, September 23, 2011

Archive Rooftop solar power plant in karnataka

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Rooftop solar power plant in karnataka

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Solar power Rooftop installation GESCOM at Gulbarga DK Shivakumar

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1st Two Rooftop Solar Power Plant with MESCOM Power Purchase Agreement

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Gandhinagar Solar Plant About The Solar Power Plant

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Thursday, September 22, 2011

Toward a new geopolitics of climate for 2030

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With less than 60 days to go before COP21, last week marked an important step on the road to a new climate agreement: the 196 participants had until October 1 to share what post-2020 climate actions they intend to take under the future agreement. Three-quarters of the world countries published their “Intended nationally determined contribution”, or INDC, in time.

Through this mountain of documents, it is possible to see the map of a profoundly changed world (1), a world where India emits three times more greenhouse gases than the United States and where an average European pollutes less than an Indonesian.
The INDC offers an image of our world in 15 years. If he wants to stabilize the climate in the coming decades, it is on these perspectives, and not on the current situation, that the Paris agreement must be negotiated.

(This article is translated from the original in French: Une nouvelle géopolitique du climat pour 2030)


Middle East and oil producers tempted by resistance


Let's start with those who did not submit their INDC: 47 countries exactly. Approximately one half can be excused: no one will blame South-Sudan or Micronesia if they did not find the time or the means to prepare thorough contribution.
In the other half, those whose absence shows reluctance to do their part, we can find almost all Middle East and many oil producing countries. All members of OPEC but two (Algeria and Ecuador) did not submit in time. Egypt, Syria or Pakistan did not either. It just takes a look at a map to understand that the weak spot of climate change mitigation is now somewhere between the Nile and the Indus...

This is not a coincidence, rather the consequence of international negotiations that intend to regulate a by-product of fossil fuels, carbon dioxide emissions, without any regard for the production and trade of coal, oil and gas. This contradiction will have to be solved sooner or later…
The same cause can explain poor contributions from other fossil fuel producers such as Australia and Canada that will remain among the most polluting per capita (respectively 15.3 and 13.6 tonnes CO2 equivalent per capita in 2030).


The emergence of two super-polluters


The other important lesson from the analysis of the INDC is the emergence of China and India as first global emitters, and by far. In 2030, China is expected to emit about 14 billion tonnes CO2 equivalent and India a little more than 9GtCO2e. That means that these two countries will emit as much as the whole world in 1990! United States will be on the third stand of the podium, but far behind with 3.6GtCO2e.

These levels can be partly explained by the huge population of the two countries. But even per capita emissions are expected to grow dramatically: 10 tonnes CO2 equivalent for an average Chinese in 2030, nearly as much as an American the same year, and 6tCO2e pc. for an Indian... Three time more than today!

Evolution of GHG emissions per capita for the 10 largest emitting countries between 1990 and 2030

In 1997, the main goal of the Kyoto Protocol was to reduce emissions from industrialized countries; neither China nor India had any obligation. Today the world has changed: If we really want to cut emissions over the next two decades, then all efforts must be focused on these two countries. If China or India agrees to decrease their projected emission by even a fraction of a percent it would have a much more significant impact than efforts from less emitting countries. Imagine, for example, that a decrease of only 0.5% of Chinese emissions in 2030 will be the equivalent of a drop of 15% in Australia!


New models?


On the other side, some countries have presented ambitious contributions. This is the case of Brazil that plans to divide its emissions per capita by two between 2010 and 2030 to reach 2.6TeqCO2 per capita - a level unmatched among other major polluters and especially remarkable for a country that has yet to develop.
The European Union also deserves to be quoted. Even if its proposal was subject of criticism, by 2030 a European will emit 5.7tCO2e, which is slightly less than an Indonesian the same year... We are still far from a level that would stabilize the climate but no other industrialized country displayed such ambition.

If they live up to their announcements, Brazil and the European Union could become new models in the fight against climate change. The former by showing the path of economic development without greenhouse gas emissions. The later by proving that a developed economy can be decarbonized while remaining prosperous.

(1) all the figures used in this article are derived from my own calculations on the basis of the INDC. Details are available in this article (in French).


For other posts on climate and energy from this blog translated in English, click here.



Sunday, September 18, 2011

Where to get Build your own 12 volt wind generator

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Saturday, September 17, 2011

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Solar Powered Stand Alone Power Systems: Component Optimization

Solar Powered Stand Alone Power Systems: Component Optimization

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Home Solar Power Systems 2kW to 10kW

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Thursday, September 15, 2011

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Wednesday, September 14, 2011

Why is it helpful to build models when studying sizes in the solar system

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Saturday, September 10, 2011

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EPower firm to construct 10 MW PV solar plant in Gambi

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Masdar 10 MW Solar Power Plant ProTenders

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10 MW Solar PV Power Plant in Masdar City, Abu Dhabi, where solar is

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MW to Build the UK’s Three Largest Photovoltaic Solar Power Plants

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The new solar plant in Toledo provides power for the local zoo. (Foto

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SunPower to begin construction on solar power plant at U.S. Army Post

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Construction of a 10 MW Photovoltaic Power Plant in Monteruga, Comune


Here How to build a home wind turbine for free

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